Case Studies
Oxford Economics' Sponsorship of OXONIA Distinguished Speaker Seminar Series
Oxford Economics is pleased to be sponsoring this series of talks by distinguished speakers in Oxford, which our clients can attend.OXONIA, The Oxford Institute for Economic Policy, provides a global forum for engaging a broad consortium of those in the public policy community into the analysis, discussion, and dissemination of policy issues, with the aim of encompassing innovative academic research into the broad public policy framework.
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Economic risk assessments
Oxford Economics' Global Macro Model provides a rigorous framework for analysing the impact of alternative scenarios and major threats to economies. For example, it suggests that the minimum cost of a global Avian flu pandemic would be $400 billion of lost GDP
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Influencing government policy
We help companies' corporate affairs and strategy teams make the case for economic policies or for investment proposals. For example, a report, prepared for the UK Film Council and Pinewood Shepperton, assesses the different ways in which the film industry contributes to the UK economy, and the importance of the new Film Tax Relief for the competitiveness of film production in the UK.
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Transportation Policy Analysis
Grand Bahama Island shoulders the most expensive air service in the Caribbean. Our Tourism Economics team examined causes behind these costs and identified opportunities for revamping service agreements and operations to secure efficient and growing air service.
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Investment Feasibility
Developers of a 800-acre mixed resort needed to correctly define their product mix, pricing, and evaluate competition. A market study by our Tourism Economics group has positioned our client to attract partners and capital to move forward quickly.
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Current Highlights
Oxford Economics' Blog
The Fed moves to provide more transparency
The Federal Reserve has taken additional actions to make its monetary policy more transparent to markets. The latest moves include the release of FOMC members’expectations for the federal funds rate at the end of each of the next few years and in the longer term.
Read more here: Article
Spain’s fiscal targets should be eased
The Spanish government has announced that the fiscal deficit for 2011 may be even worse than expected, perhaps even exceeding 8% of GDP. In response to this overshoot, the authorities have so far announced additional spending cuts and tax rises amounting to €15bn. But fiscal tightening will have to be even more severe if the government wants to meet its 4.4% of GDP deficit target for 2012.
Read more here: Article
Consumption boosts China’s resilience but risks of a property bust still loom
With the outlook for exports subdued and investment weak, we expect industrial output growth to slow further in 2012H1. But consumption is taking up the slack and fiscal policy is set to be supportive. As a result, we only expect a relatively modest slowing in growth in 2012 to 8.4% from 9.2% in 2011.
Read more here: Article
30 January 2012learn more
IFS Green Budget Report
The Institute for Fiscal Studies’ Green Budget was launched today in collaboration with Oxford Economics. We jointly presented the research examining the prospects for public finances ahead of next Month’s Budget in the UK. All the presentations and report itself can be found Here together with the associated press release: “Borrowing set to undershoot official forecasts, but downside risks limit room for manoeuvre" 29 January 2012
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Global Scenario Service – Alternative outcomes for the global economy
The global economic outlook has worsened in recent months and we have further downgraded our GDP forecasts. In particular, the Eurozone financial crisis has continued to intensify, and the economic picture has started to weaken in emerging markets as well. Although the US economy remains more resilient, it is vulnerable to a further deterioration in global financial conditions. As 2012 approaches, the global economy is at a dangerous juncture, with the risks around our central forecast heavily skewed to the downside. In this context we have explored three alternative scenarios based on modelling work using our Global Economic Model, two downside and one upside. The scenarios considered are a Eurozone break-up, a China hard landing and a revival of corporate investment 20 December 2011
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By-Country Industry Forecast Service
We are publishing new on-line reports providing detailed forecasts for prospects in over 80 industrial sectors across 68 different economies. The new service provides:
- Forecasts for output growth on an annual basis over the next 10 years for over 80 sectors
- Charts and tables highlighting key industrial output trends, past and future
- Access to our Sectoral Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts to download for your own analysis and reports
- Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Industrial Model
Poland China
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Country Economic Forecast Service
We are publishing new on-line country economic forecasts every day covering economic and political developments and prospects in over 175 countries, linked to our forecast databank:
- Tailor-made for busy executives, the forecasts tell you everything you need to know for your business planning
- Access to our Macro Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts for a host of economic and social indicators plus detailed tourism statistics
- Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Model (the most widely used commercial model in the world)
Thailand Germany Czech Republic
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Analysis for Better Decisions
Oxford Economics - formerly Oxford Economic Forecasting - is a world-leader in quantitative analysis and rigorous economic forecasting. Our evidence-based approach to economic analysis helps businesses, governments and international organisations make the right investment, policy and market decisions.
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